0x601c8f30ec4232913923953be715284bcf00c11b
0x601c8f30ec4232913923953be715284bcf00c11b
- Realised P&L
- $14.30
- Volume
- $210.22
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $11.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.795 | $2.69 | +$0.69 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.973 | $1.45 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.724 | 1.000 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.915 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.435 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.983 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? · Yes | 0.936 | 0.859 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.410 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.255 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.018 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.26at 0.128Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$2.35at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
- +$2.10at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$1.68at 0.553Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
- +$1.53at 0.407Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.936 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |