daduck
0x5ffa7d1f2d2e456ffcbeaac36702e1674b6843ed
- Realised P&L
- $-5.43
- Volume
- $32.40
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $6.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.455 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? · No | 0.600 | 0.635 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September? · No | 0.900 | 0.953 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · No | 0.530 | 0.560 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.310 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.401 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.480 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 11? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.690Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$0.30at 0.770Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 23:36 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.4429998711 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 23:33 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:55 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:54 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:39 | Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:17 | Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 11:07 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:08 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 11? | BUY | 0.3799999696 | $4.00 |