0x5fefc5e29020c3db965f0e8c063343782b8e59b9
0x5fefc5e29020c3db965f0e8c063343782b8e59b9
- Realised P&L
- $-178.56
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $25.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.075 | $25.11 | −$4.89 |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.50 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton · Ben Shelton | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will SS Lazio vs. AC Monza end in a draw? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.03at 0.096Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
- +$8.42at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9AM ET
- +$3.83at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:42 | Will SS Lazio vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0589999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 14:41 | Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 14:40 | Will SS Lazio vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0809999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 10:15 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0896069242 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 18:50 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.00399967 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 12:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999993 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 10:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999993 | $7.50 |
| 09-16 10:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 10:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $32.00 |
| 09-16 10:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 03:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999994 | $11.00 |
| 09-14 20:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 19:07 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.26 | $65.00 |
| 09-09 07:32 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |