PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zacharyjka

0x5fb9c16abe82423840fb0a647cc52a9838772b0f

Realised P&L
$24.96
Volume
$33.6k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$15.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? · No0.9500.971$4.56+$0.10
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · No0.9000.939$4.17+$0.17
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9100.959$3.90+$0.20
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9200.980$3.19+$0.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$2.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 13:35Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?SELL0.968$4.96
08-04 15:36Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.969$3.09
08-04 15:35Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.91$5.84
06-28 01:50Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?SELL0.969$4.08
06-28 01:49Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.57$3.69
06-28 01:49Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.864$2.51
06-28 01:49Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.785$6.43
05-18 00:43Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.94$1.66
05-15 09:37Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.95$3.40
05-14 05:42Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9589999882$3.00
04-19 15:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 19?BUY0.998$541.76
04-19 11:11Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?BUY0.9809999988$5.73
04-18 07:53US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?BUY0.869999967$2.11
04-17 19:08Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.93$0.87
04-17 00:43Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.8299999967$5.00