zacharyjka
0x5fb9c16abe82423840fb0a647cc52a9838772b0f
- Realised P&L
- $24.96
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $15.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.971 | $4.56 | +$0.10 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.939 | $4.17 | +$0.17 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.959 | $3.90 | +$0.20 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.980 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.09at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?
- +$6.80at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17?
- +$6.75at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?
- +$6.70at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 18?
- +$2.92at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 13:35 | Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $4.96 |
| 08-04 15:36 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $3.09 |
| 08-04 15:35 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.84 |
| 06-28 01:50 | Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | SELL | 0.969 | $4.08 |
| 06-28 01:49 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.69 |
| 06-28 01:49 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.864 | $2.51 |
| 06-28 01:49 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.785 | $6.43 |
| 05-18 00:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.66 |
| 05-15 09:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.40 |
| 05-14 05:42 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999882 | $3.00 |
| 04-19 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $541.76 |
| 04-19 11:11 | Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | BUY | 0.9809999988 | $5.73 |
| 04-18 07:53 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.869999967 | $2.11 |
| 04-17 19:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.87 |
| 04-17 00:43 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |