gtrht5rht
0x5fa3ed9443381cbc4c3f43744a951a687f6803a7
- Realised P&L
- $451.97
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $11.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.932 | $6.06 | −$0.12 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? · No | 0.998 | 0.991 | $5.38 | −$0.04 |
| Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.70at 0.795Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5
- +$18.37at 0.950Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on February 9?
- +$12.95at 0.960Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?
- +$2.31at 0.844Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5
- +$0.53at 0.972Spread: Jordan (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:53 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.42 |
| 10-09 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.979 | $5.51 |
| 10-07 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.57 |
| 09-30 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.53 |
| 08-31 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.31 |
| 07-07 02:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 8? | BUY | 0.985 | $6.51 |
| 07-05 02:54 | Spread: Norway (-3.5) | BUY | 0.996 | $12.83 |
| 06-24 01:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.44 |
| 06-16 01:25 | Spread: Jordan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.971 | $18.45 |
| 06-11 00:37 | United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.972 | $8.10 |
| 06-04 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.13 |
| 05-26 12:45 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 05-19 10:57 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.23 |
| 05-16 03:01 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.17 |
| 05-11 01:09 | Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $12.43 |