0x5Fa1ce98eeC314A46d1aAcDaC885fDDb1E511e03-1780215307266
0x5fa1ce98eec314a46d1aacdac885fddb1e511e03
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $150.7k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $31.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $31.04 | −$5.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.56at 0.614Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by August 31?
- +$94.81at 0.803Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $150B by July 31?
- +$74.09at 0.550Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31?
- +$44.80at 0.880Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$44.53at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:43 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0379389588 | $2.5k |
| 09-13 12:39 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1730007848 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 12:37 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1648708114 | $500.00 |
| 09-13 12:36 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1696530594 | $400.00 |
| 09-13 12:33 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1690753931 | $1.4k |
| 09-13 12:32 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1457500711 | $1.0k |
| 09-13 12:30 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1187722683 | $1000.00 |
| 09-13 12:29 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0937648085 | $242.00 |
| 09-13 12:29 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0883698381 | $1.0k |
| 09-13 12:28 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0740523629 | $700.00 |
| 09-13 11:51 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0679572876 | $31.63 |
| 09-13 11:50 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0597634762 | $226.46 |
| 09-13 11:50 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? | SELL | 0.3821024009 | $272.62 |
| 09-13 11:49 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0496016144 | $229.61 |
| 09-13 11:48 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? | SELL | 0.1512945695 | $247.76 |