0x5F9D8C4816c3470e02D1902FDDD277996723Dd7C-1721486096954
0x5f9d8c4816c3470e02d1902fddd277996723dd7c
- Realised P&L
- $-12.6k
- Volume
- $291.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $6.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.84at 0.150Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
- +$28.58at 0.210US-China trade deal before June?
- +$7.31at 0.376Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
- +$-5.58at 0.021Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-6.03at 0.548Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 15:01 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.6969508371 | $48.00 |
| 08-19 14:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.46 | $50.60 |
| 08-17 22:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $40.91 |
| 08-17 22:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.36 | $39.60 |
| 08-15 09:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | SELL | 0.5 | $52.00 |
| 08-15 06:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | BUY | 0.538 | $55.95 |
| 08-14 14:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | SELL | 0.91 | $89.10 |
| 08-07 13:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.66 | $64.62 |
| 08-06 01:21 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0049439442 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 11:43 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.51 |
| 08-03 11:36 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.56 |
| 07-30 03:40 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.10 |
| 07-30 03:39 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.53 |
| 07-21 11:28 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $33.07 |
| 07-21 11:26 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.01557865 | $2.07 |