PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5F9D8C4816c3470e02D1902FDDD277996723Dd7C-1721486096954

0x5f9d8c4816c3470e02d1902fddd277996723dd7c

Realised P&L
$-12.6k
Volume
$291.2k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$6.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0100.003$4.98−$14.46
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.6970.021$1.41−$46.59
Will Biden finish his term? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$17.01
X Money launch in 2025? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00−$81.00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$61.13
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.0310.000$0.00−$10.07
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$115.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? · No0.1960.000$0.00−$0.95
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$17.48
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$73.95
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024? · No0.0370.000$0.00−$28.61
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$65.30
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 15:01Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.6969508371$48.00
08-19 14:28Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?SELL0.46$50.60
08-17 22:52Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.89$40.91
08-17 22:52Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.36$39.60
08-15 09:45Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?SELL0.5$52.00
08-15 06:00Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?BUY0.538$55.95
08-14 14:42Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?SELL0.91$89.10
08-07 13:11Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.66$64.62
08-06 01:21Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0049439442$2.80
08-03 11:43Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.014$0.51
08-03 11:36Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.013$2.56
07-30 03:40Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.013$0.10
07-30 03:39Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.004$0.53
07-21 11:28Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?SELL0.05$33.07
07-21 11:26Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.01557865$2.07