PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ebashim.

0x5f95f768511ba2e50c576066fd611c77335746c4

Realised P&L
$-13.85
Volume
$40.7k
Markets traded
2,537
Open portfolio
$20.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,537
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · No0.0200.390$1.95+$1.85
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.0900.330$1.65+$1.20
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5 · Over0.0700.285$1.42+$1.07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.0900.205$1.02+$0.57
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.0900.175$0.88+$0.42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$0.85$0.05
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.137$0.69+$0.34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0850.147$0.68+$0.29
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0850.117$0.59+$0.16
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0900.055$0.55$0.35
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0500.107$0.53+$0.28
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$0.38$0.13
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0840.025$0.37$0.89
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0800.065$0.33$0.07
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.065$0.33$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 06:42Netanyahu out by July 31?SELL0.002$0.01
07-28 06:42Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?SELL0.002$0.01
07-28 06:40Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.089$0.89
07-28 06:40Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.07$0.35
07-28 06:40Will Max Holloway be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.005$0.05
06-20 17:19Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.043$0.21
06-20 16:59Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.021$0.11
06-20 14:04Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.085$0.43
06-20 08:02Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?BUY0.023$0.11
06-18 09:10Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.87$4.35
06-17 22:17Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?SELL0.002$0.01
06-17 21:54US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?SELL0.001$0.01
06-17 09:39Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.002$0.02
06-17 01:04Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.05$0.25
06-15 17:36Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.8$4.00