0x5f916f09f484c15b420f7baaf7fa935b7e2f5f67
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $106.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.716 | 0.715 | $31.83 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.775 | $20.13 | +$0.13 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.959 | $15.47 | +$0.47 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.966 | $10.03 | +$0.03 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.935 | $9.84 | −$0.16 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.805 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.981 | $5.00 | +$0.01 |
| Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.966 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No | 0.380 | 0.325 | $4.28 | −$0.72 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7099999946 | $11.89 |
| 10-30 19:52 | Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789998655 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:46 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:43 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 19:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 19:31 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 19:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 19:26 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $20.00 |