PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5f916f09f484c15b420f7baaf7fa935b7e2f5f67

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$106.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7160.715$31.83−$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7700.775$20.13+$0.13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? · Yes0.9300.959$15.47+$0.47
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9630.966$10.03+$0.03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.935$9.84−$0.16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.8000.805$5.03+$0.03
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9800.981$5.00+$0.01
Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? · No0.9790.966$4.93−$0.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.3800.325$4.28−$0.72

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 19:54Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7099999946$11.89
10-30 19:52Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9789998655$5.00
10-30 19:46Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.98$5.00
10-30 19:43Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9629999992$10.00
10-30 19:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
10-30 19:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?BUY0.9299999975$15.00
10-30 19:31Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.949999981$10.00
10-30 19:27Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7699999992$20.00
10-30 19:26Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.8$5.00
10-30 19:22Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7199999942$20.00