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0x5f7cb23530d308a881ecf5fd5b86f20397210440
- Realised P&L
- $501.18
- Volume
- $78.1k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $876.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.949 | 0.952 | $380.80 | +$1.20 |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No | 0.976 | 0.993 | $99.25 | +$1.65 |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in September? · No | 0.987 | 0.992 | $99.20 | +$0.50 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? · No | 0.989 | 0.986 | $98.55 | −$0.35 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No | 0.950 | 0.950 | $95.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.512 | $61.50 | −$5.70 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in September? · No | 0.984 | 0.976 | $39.02 | −$0.34 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.946 | $2.69 | +$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.30at 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$124.36at 0.874Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?
- +$41.52at 0.326Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$25.30at 0.571Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$17.59at 0.600Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:36 | Will Solana dip to $50 in September? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.35 |
| 09-14 06:36 | Will Solana dip to $50 in September? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.35 |
| 09-14 06:34 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in September? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 09-05 03:35 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 08-26 01:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $265.20 |
| 08-26 01:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on August 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $332.33 |
| 08-07 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $346.65 |
| 08-07 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 08-07 06:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 08-05 03:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 08-05 03:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 08-05 03:38 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $49.25 |
| 07-20 09:10 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 24? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 07-20 09:04 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 07-20 09:01 | Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |