0x5F7Bf33F595CD07AC2946A96bA2f41dAee57ea70-1768727292660
0x5f7bf33f595cd07ac2946a96ba2f41daee57ea70
- Realised P&L
- $-634.75
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $147.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 19:39 | Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30? | BUY | 0.0574228644 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 08:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 15:15 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.1094198928 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 15:12 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 15:08 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.6051587301 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 14:16 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.7110346296 | $300.00 |
| 05-13 20:54 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 12:54 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 05-02 10:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4870577194 | $20.76 |
| 05-02 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3355307241 | $25.00 |
| 05-02 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7920792079 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7325158837 | $100.00 |