PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5F7Bf33F595CD07AC2946A96bA2f41dAee57ea70-1768727292660

0x5f7bf33f595cd07ac2946a96ba2f41daee57ea70

Realised P&L
$-634.75
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$147.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6900.955$138.41+$38.41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$4.50$5.50
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1090.046$4.25$5.75
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.0400.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.3360.000$0.00$25.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30? · No0.0570.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.5970.000$0.00$409.71
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No0.5800.000$0.00$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$200.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 19:39Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?BUY0.0574228644$100.00
07-19 08:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999976$100.00
07-11 15:15Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.1094198928$10.00
07-11 15:12Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.689999999$100.00
07-11 15:08Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.6051587301$100.00
05-20 14:16Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.7110346296$300.00
05-13 20:54Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
05-13 12:54Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
05-02 10:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.4870577194$20.76
05-02 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.689999999$100.00
05-02 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.6099999985$100.00
05-02 10:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.4199999977$100.00
05-02 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.3355307241$25.00
05-02 10:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.7920792079$5.00
05-01 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.7325158837$100.00