ted11
0x5f5ea9a5cc8aa38ea69fcd59a89330abbbbb463f
- Realised P&L
- $17.0k
- Volume
- $425.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $23.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.892Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
- +$3.2kat 0.755Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
- +$3.0kat 0.575Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
- +$2.6kat 0.695Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$2.6kat 0.698Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:00 | Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9153956514 | $2.0k |
| 10-31 12:58 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9190481418 | $5.0k |
| 10-31 12:57 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8396240164 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 12:56 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.8479776581 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 12:55 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 12:50 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.651 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 12:50 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 12:49 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 12:48 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.319540756 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 12:48 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 12:47 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 12:47 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7927588613 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 12:46 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $1000.00 |
| 11-10 01:31 | Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | BUY | 0.9405574925 | $9.0k |
| 10-28 23:54 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8830235887 | $17.2k |