svfvsfv
0x5f5bb93fae26d2ef292ec5a0fe397ecdd67642ba
- Realised P&L
- $-67.39
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $175.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.48at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$37.45at 0.546Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$37.12at 0.729Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$23.36at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$17.35at 0.630US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 22:48 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 22:48 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.986 | $1.01 |
| 07-22 12:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 12:26 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:26 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:26 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.02 |
| 07-22 12:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.07 |
| 07-22 12:25 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.09 |
| 07-22 00:29 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.00 |
| 07-22 00:27 | Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $5.43 |
| 07-15 20:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 10:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $15.83 |
| 06-20 10:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.01 |
| 06-20 10:14 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.064 | $4.71 |
| 06-20 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |