svfvsfv
0x5f5bb93fae26d2ef292ec5a0fe397ecdd67642ba
- Realised P&L
- $-113.87
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 779
- Open portfolio
- $188.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded779
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.894 | 0.984 | $97.06 | +$8.86 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.915 | 0.980 | $50.33 | +$3.33 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.905 | $29.14 | +$1.14 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 1.000 | $7.14 | +$1.14 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.875 | $3.70 | +$0.70 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.940 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.56at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$36.31at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$34.44at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$22.71at 0.456Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$17.35at 0.630US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:25 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999975 | $14.00 |
| 09-26 00:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 00:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 00:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $1.05 |
| 09-26 00:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.14 |
| 09-26 00:16 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.29 |
| 09-26 00:16 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:16 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.984 | $0.99 |
| 09-26 00:16 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:16 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $0.99 |
| 09-26 00:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.152 | $0.42 |
| 09-26 00:15 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.01 |
| 09-26 00:15 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:15 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |