PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cezarn132

0x5f176a980de5b25f89f17473e5e8adef565c519e

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$5.49M
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$117.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6140.935$34.2k+$11.8k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6350.585$23.0k$2.0k
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · No0.9550.979$17.4k+$426.21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9490.979$10.3k+$308.87
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.958$10.2k+$191.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8500.860$10.1k+$117.65
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · No0.7500.940$4.0k+$807.50
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.7850.935$3.7k+$592.43
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · No0.5680.925$2.1k+$817.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.9450.945$1.7k+$0.47
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? · Yes0.6510.680$521.80+$21.81
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2890.295$1.02+$0.02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.7280.000$0.00$38.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 13:35NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.6515848436$500.00
07-30 13:32Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9491830946$10.0k
07-29 18:28Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?SELL0.0694105402$1.5k
07-29 16:22Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.79$20.0k
07-28 15:03US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$10.0k
07-28 15:03US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.94$10.0k
07-28 15:01Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.8$10.00
07-28 15:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.56$5.0k
07-26 15:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9447392927$1.7k
07-26 15:47Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?BUY0.9545687228$17.0k
07-26 15:46Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.8$10.00
07-26 15:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5990744539$5.0k
07-11 18:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.6791664395$15.0k
07-09 18:02Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.967$10.0k
07-07 16:48Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9602414597$20.0k