MagoCazador369
0x5f017a6d05323afe59f425783725a739cc7c2da3
- Realised P&L
- $214.25
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $10.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.76at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$74.40at 0.874England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$63.15at 0.896Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$21.26at 0.701Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$20.91at 0.331Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 20:37 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 20:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 21:19 | Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:12 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 21:08 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 21:10 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 19:01 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.30 |
| 07-17 19:57 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 01:28 | Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.28 |
| 07-17 01:28 | Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.32 |
| 07-17 01:24 | Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 23:43 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 23:08 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 22:56 | Will Trump say "Middle East" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |