PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

laoaba

0x5ec1cb3d399595e0d9656616d0ed212693b9dd9a

Realised P&L
$-344.25
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
637
Open portfolio
$45.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded637
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? · Yes0.2000.999$5.09+$4.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? · No0.3990.980$5.01+$2.97
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.3800.565$3.03+$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? · No0.5500.805$2.99+$0.95
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.4200.495$2.40+$0.36
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? · No0.5890.608$2.10+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 18? · No0.4901.000$2.08+$1.06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.5m? · No0.7000.675$1.97$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 19? · No0.8850.790$1.82$0.22
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? · No0.9000.770$1.75$0.29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6450.435$1.38$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? · No0.7900.925$1.19+$0.17
Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.7300.735$1.03+$0.01
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No0.7800.780$1.02+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 18? · No0.8600.855$1.01$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 13:37Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7799995871$1.02
09-18 13:16Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5199998573$1.02
09-18 12:43Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.5$0.91
09-18 11:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?BUY0.9$1.02
09-18 11:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.5m?BUY0.6999999314$1.02
09-18 11:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?BUY0.9099999375$1.02
09-18 11:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?BUY0.9$1.02
09-18 11:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.5m?BUY0.6999999314$1.02
09-18 10:36Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5599998682$1.02
09-18 10:36Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5599998682$1.02
09-18 09:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.32$1.02
09-18 07:37Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.95$1.02
09-18 07:32Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?BUY0.5499998382$1.02
09-18 07:31Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?BUY0.5499998382$1.02
09-18 07:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 19?BUY0.879999931$1.02