plashspid
0x5eb674262793a0ade69bf06e3968f4caad8b9371
- Realised P&L
- $-40.24
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $2.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.021 | $1.49 | +$1.20 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $0.82 | −$0.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.32 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25? · Down | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.23at 0.800Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?
- +$2.69at 0.875Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?
- +$2.06at 0.808Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 2?
- +$1.99at 0.778Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
- +$1.97at 0.809Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 14:33 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.29 |
| 09-20 06:25 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.31 |
| 09-15 13:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.126 | $1.25 |
| 09-15 12:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.8589999865 | $8.50 |
| 08-25 14:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25? | BUY | 0.2599998743 | $1.20 |
| 08-25 14:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 22:34 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.16 |
| 08-24 22:29 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.49 |
| 08-24 10:04 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 14:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.43 |
| 08-14 14:14 | XRP Up or Down - August 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.22 |
| 08-14 14:12 | XRP Up or Down - August 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8285077951 | $9.30 |
| 08-14 13:52 | XRP Up or Down - August 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999922 | $8.00 |