0x5Ead05A39f5e652d67e4c22Dcf6993a0869661Dd-1739181062635
0x5ead05a39f5e652d67e4c22dcf6993a0869661dd
- Realised P&L
- $642.13
- Volume
- $43.8k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $937.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.75at 0.699Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$97.22at 0.720Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$83.39at 0.750Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$75.87at 0.880Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
- +$72.56at 0.729Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 15:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.44 | $98.51 |
| 08-26 08:38 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $270.00 |
| 08-18 20:54 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $350.00 |
| 08-12 16:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999986 | $150.00 |
| 08-11 20:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.9706235275 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 16:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $392.86 |
| 08-02 20:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.989756797 | $500.00 |
| 08-01 14:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.8899999994 | $350.00 |
| 07-29 13:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.835374747 | $330.14 |
| 07-28 23:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-27 17:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 14:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.729 | $183.17 |
| 07-27 00:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $250.00 |
| 07-27 00:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.996 | $249.00 |
| 07-26 09:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7959999965 | $200.00 |