PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5E9B0432E4c90777c50e10660f8D6068284B1e50-1720122014571

0x5e9b0432e4c90777c50e10660f8d6068284b1e50

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$28.3k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$288.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.6470.999$154.39+$54.39
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1030.431$83.46+$63.46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3330.260$19.50−$5.50
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.3580.120$16.78−$33.22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.5860.029$10.07−$189.93
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0170.004$4.12−$15.88
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$15.32
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$87.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$5.00
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$105.00
Nothing Ever Happens: December · No0.3500.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 14:55Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.6467183708$100.00
06-19 14:53Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.5861187217$200.00
06-15 15:21Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.0169999992$20.00
06-15 15:21Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.1032822358$20.00
06-12 20:06Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.090832917$100.00
06-11 22:44Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?BUY0.3576053487$50.00
06-11 22:43Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.0369999926$5.00
06-11 03:24Spurs vs. KnicksSELL0.47$10.21
06-11 00:22Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.3332784357$25.00
06-11 00:15SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.6299999982$100.00
06-10 23:58Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.4599999844$10.00
06-10 23:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$5.00
01-10 17:25Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.0486299529$11.36
01-10 17:25Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0530269284$11.05
01-10 17:25Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.016$11.59