PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5E9B0432E4c90777c50e10660f8D6068284B1e50-1720122014571

0x5e9b0432e4c90777c50e10660f8d6068284b1e50

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$28.3k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$319.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.6470.750$115.97+$15.97
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1030.555$107.57+$87.57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3330.535$40.13+$15.13
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.3580.215$30.06$19.94
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.5860.046$15.70$184.30
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0170.009$10.00$10.00
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? · No0.3800.000$0.00$15.32
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00$20.00
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%? · No0.8700.000$0.00$87.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.00
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$105.00
Nothing Ever Happens: December · No0.3500.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 14:55Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.6467183708$100.00
06-19 14:53Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.5861187217$200.00
06-15 15:21Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.0169999992$20.00
06-15 15:21Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.1032822358$20.00
06-12 20:06Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.090832917$100.00
06-11 22:44Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?BUY0.3576053487$50.00
06-11 22:43Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.0369999926$5.00
06-11 03:24Spurs vs. KnicksSELL0.47$10.21
06-11 00:22Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.3332784357$25.00
06-11 00:15SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.6299999982$100.00
06-10 23:58Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.4599999844$10.00
06-10 23:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$5.00
01-10 17:25Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.0486299529$11.36
01-10 17:25Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0530269284$11.05
01-10 17:25Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.016$11.59