0x5E9B0432E4c90777c50e10660f8D6068284B1e50-1720122014571
0x5e9b0432e4c90777c50e10660f8d6068284b1e50
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $319.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.90at 0.410Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$72.41at 0.580Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$57.25at 0.639SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$30.65at 0.620Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$24.12at 0.280Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 14:55 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.6467183708 | $100.00 |
| 06-19 14:53 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5861187217 | $200.00 |
| 06-15 15:21 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0169999992 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 15:21 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.1032822358 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 20:06 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.090832917 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 22:44 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.3576053487 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 22:43 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.0369999926 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 03:24 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.47 | $10.21 |
| 06-11 00:22 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3332784357 | $25.00 |
| 06-11 00:15 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 23:58 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 23:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 01-10 17:25 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.0486299529 | $11.36 |
| 01-10 17:25 | Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0530269284 | $11.05 |
| 01-10 17:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $11.59 |