PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5e3ec40a0370994cc32e51ab0666152d5e58d7b4

0x5e3ec40a0370994cc32e51ab0666152d5e58d7b4

Realised P&L
$8.55
Volume
$128.20
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$82.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · No0.9390.956$29.10+$0.49
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · No0.9300.967$11.89+$0.45
Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026? · No0.8901.000$11.11+$1.22
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.9101.000$10.58+$0.95
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.8000.695$8.21−$1.24
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.555$7.08−$3.25
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7400.840$4.20+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.