0x5e19624fffc3d3455468931fbdad032d12c5d917
- Realised P&L
- $-272.23
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $467.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.837 | 0.989 | $283.54 | +$43.40 |
| Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? · No | 0.910 | 0.974 | $113.54 | +$7.44 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes | 0.463 | 0.150 | $68.81 | −$143.69 |
| Lions vs. Bills · Bills | 0.670 | 0.695 | $2.02 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.87at 0.236England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$148.34at 0.249Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
- +$107.52at 0.316Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$82.75at 0.397Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$81.80at 0.367Spread: France (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:26 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.669999945 | $1.95 |
| 07-26 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.819999999 | $49.33 |
| 07-24 20:36 | Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Mina Hodzic | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $49.55 |
| 07-24 20:32 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4699999888 | $19.39 |
| 07-21 01:24 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.50999999 | $19.43 |
| 07-18 22:34 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | SELL | 0.992 | $198.19 |
| 07-18 20:46 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.239999997 | $47.95 |
| 07-18 20:31 | France vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999972 | $48.99 |
| 07-18 17:38 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6799999992 | $97.98 |
| 07-15 20:42 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.227499997 | $47.92 |
| 07-14 18:04 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3749999961 | $48.26 |
| 07-14 16:43 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5799999993 | $146.25 |
| 07-12 00:15 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3049999957 | $48.10 |
| 07-11 23:12 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.129999998 | $47.70 |
| 07-11 18:57 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $48.87 |