0x5e19624fffc3d3455468931fbdad032d12c5d917
0x5e19624fffc3d3455468931fbdad032d12c5d917
- Realised P&L
- $-264.36
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $684.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.983 | $573.09 | +$311.74 |
| Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? · No | 0.926 | 0.941 | $109.69 | +$1.69 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.276 | $1.64 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.87at 0.236England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$148.34at 0.249Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
- +$107.52at 0.316Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$82.75at 0.397Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$81.80at 0.367Spread: France (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:29 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.8599999931 | $4.97 |
| 10-03 14:29 | Bari: Juan Martin vs Matthew William Donald | BUY | 0.8099999754 | $4.93 |
| 10-02 17:00 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $4.96 |
| 10-02 16:59 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3189999941 | $1.89 |
| 09-30 21:19 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.82 |
| 09-30 15:17 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.6199999874 | $19.64 |
| 09-22 16:36 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.992 | $284.55 |
| 09-22 16:33 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $19.39 |
| 09-22 05:12 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.7399999881 | $9.98 |
| 09-16 04:26 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.669999945 | $1.95 |
| 07-26 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.819999999 | $49.33 |
| 07-24 20:36 | Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Mina Hodzic | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $49.55 |
| 07-24 20:32 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4699999888 | $19.39 |
| 07-21 01:24 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.50999999 | $19.43 |
| 07-18 22:34 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | SELL | 0.992 | $198.19 |