Makimasa
0x5e054b4b517fda23c95dc8974ca49ea6c34db9e1
- Realised P&L
- $530.48
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $90.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.950 | $44.65 | +$0.47 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.955 | $42.36 | +$0.67 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · No | 0.978 | 0.976 | $3.62 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.88at 0.520Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$3.10at 0.928Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$3.01at 0.930Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
- +$1.45at 0.965Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.03at 0.971Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 08:40 | Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore | BUY | 0.52 | $562.12 |