0x5dff5c0fc0cd1dca917684f6978d637e58dc66bd
- Realised P&L
- $-69.40
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $60.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.140 | 0.410 | $14.64 | +$9.64 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.590 | 0.453 | $10.39 | −$3.16 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.548 | $9.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.395 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.305 | $3.81 | −$1.19 |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.062 | $1.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.98at 0.107Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.95at 0.540Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$25.07at 0.288Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$11.63at 0.081Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$9.58at 0.780Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:42 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 05:41 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.064 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 05:41 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:26 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5509999796 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:57 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:20 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 09:30 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 17:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 17:26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 17:25 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 20:31 | New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 17:10 | Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 15:45 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 14:48 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0283993117 | $5.00 |