PolyBot

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Traders

0x5df41f766ba7add2b550e7beca47625efb5cc9e9

0x5df41f766ba7add2b550e7beca47625efb5cc9e9

Realised P&L
$291.65
Volume
$27.0k
Markets traded
815
Open portfolio
$506.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded815
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3960.175$195.15−$246.46
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.4080.405$178.79−$1.21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6000.825$122.89+$33.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.6081.000$5.92+$2.32
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.5201.000$3.46+$1.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.4920.000$0.00−$14.40
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.8100.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$1.80
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$1.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$1.08
Solana Up or Down - September 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.7600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$5.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:27Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSELL0.35$1.07
10-05 15:27Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.5599999502$1.80
10-05 15:26Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.5899998951$1.80
10-05 15:19Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSELL0.99$2.48
10-05 15:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.889999999$90.00
10-05 15:16Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.72$1.80
10-05 13:39Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.2899999884$4.50
10-05 10:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.9$9.00
10-05 05:46XRP Up or Down - October 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.6799999597$2.70
10-05 05:32XRP Up or Down - October 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.48$1.35
10-05 05:23XRP Up or Down - October 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.6199998163$1.35
10-05 05:18XRP Up or Down - October 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSELL0.92$2.03
10-05 05:16XRP Up or Down - October 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.6099999322$1.35
10-04 21:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.2099999838$2.34
10-04 20:25Will Republic of Ireland vs. Israel end in a draw?SELL0.7$128.60