lamanna555
0x5dd926e14f2c93898aad8a91cdebed807439dad6
- Realised P&L
- $-19.44
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $7.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.140 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$4.30 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.285 | $1.43 | −$0.33 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.270 | 0.235 | $1.18 | −$0.17 |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.030 | $0.15 | −$0.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.14at 0.110Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?
- +$10.57at 0.275Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
- +$9.76at 0.170Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
- +$8.16at 0.380Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)
- +$5.14at 0.280Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baena
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 15:35 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.02 |
| 03-27 16:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | SELL | 0.993 | $2.20 |
| 03-27 16:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | SELL | 0.184 | $1.13 |
| 03-27 16:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | SELL | 0.0248486395 | $0.15 |
| 03-27 16:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | SELL | 0.804 | $4.40 |
| 03-27 16:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | SELL | 0.1767546755 | $3.21 |
| 03-27 16:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.15 |
| 03-22 01:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 23? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $1.94 |
| 03-22 01:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $1.94 |
| 03-21 23:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $1.98 |
| 03-21 23:22 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.37 |
| 03-21 22:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY | 0.3649998878 | $2.00 |
| 03-21 22:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 03-21 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $1.94 |
| 03-21 21:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY | 0.6519997014 | $2.00 |