PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kakprotrades

0x5dbe77663419e7bd0cc231388f0469f7181ad631

Realised P&L
$-466.23
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$64.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have 300 or more Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · No0.9730.996$16.67+$0.38
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1? · No0.5200.705$14.10+$3.70
Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026? · No0.6590.485$9.62−$3.45
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1? · Yes0.4300.295$5.90−$2.70
Will SI.gov launch by October 31? · No0.2900.265$5.30−$0.50
Will SI.gov launch by October 15? · No0.5800.255$5.10−$6.50
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? · No0.3800.505$3.69+$0.91
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.0010.104$2.09+$2.07
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.0020.074$1.49+$1.45
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? · Yes0.1000.045$0.90−$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$5.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$431.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$88.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:38Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.52$10.40
10-07 16:11GitHub.com critical incident by October 15, 2026?BUY0.92$10.12
10-07 10:34Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$12.00
10-07 09:42Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$21.60
10-06 17:57Will PSDB-CIDADANIA hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?SELL0.001$0.02
10-06 17:54Will PSD hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?SELL0.001$0.02
10-06 17:54Will REPUBLICANOS hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?SELL0.001$0.03
10-06 17:53Will PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?SELL0.001$0.02
10-04 14:52Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?BUY0.95$2.00
10-02 17:10Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?BUY0.9639999884$1.00
10-02 11:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-02 11:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-02 10:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSELL0.5$1.08
10-02 10:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-02 10:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.5$1.00