0x5dbb373e8b6012bcfbcbbf4dd78ff89fc6eed7ce
0x5dbb373e8b6012bcfbcbbf4dd78ff89fc6eed7ce
- Realised P&L
- $137.21
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $14.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.107 | $7.49 | +$1.22 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.360 | $2.90 | +$0.63 |
| San Diego FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.430 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$1.54 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October? · No | 0.280 | 0.295 | $1.19 | +$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.011 | $0.24 | +$0.09 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.93at 0.052Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 13?
- +$92.28at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?
- +$7.15at 0.254XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$3.60at 0.625Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
- +$3.51at 0.254XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:27 | San Diego FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4299999073 | $1.16 |
| 10-15 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 10-15 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.28 |
| 10-15 04:00 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5399998231 | $1.16 |
| 10-15 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.94 |
| 10-15 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.41 |
| 10-15 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.95 |
| 10-15 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.8299999465 | $2.17 |
| 10-15 03:23 | Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $2.04 |
| 10-15 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1643478232 | $2.10 |
| 10-15 03:19 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.0020681292 | $0.61 |
| 10-15 03:12 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $2.09 |
| 10-15 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $2.09 |
| 10-15 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $2.09 |
| 10-15 03:10 | Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5719998729 | $1.17 |