STTTT
0x5db691157f4e7787f5ee58ced498f78f607f1c77
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $413.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $698.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · No | 0.753 | 0.996 | $697.20 | +$170.00 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.004 | $1.00 | −$56.50 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$6.55 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$630.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.430US military action against Iran before July?
- +$102.40at 0.003Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$-0.01at 0.001Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-501.47at 0.043US military action against Iran by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:08 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.66 |
| 09-24 05:07 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.23 | $37.03 |
| 09-24 05:03 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7523197582 | $470.51 |
| 06-26 20:45 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | SELL | 0.007 | $131.16 |
| 06-25 04:36 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.003 | $76.80 |
| 06-25 04:30 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 06-25 03:37 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.003 | $18.00 |
| 06-25 03:34 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.003 | $106.60 |
| 06-25 03:32 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 06-20 18:23 | US military action against Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.0396454729 | $134.08 |
| 06-20 18:16 | US military action against Iran before July? | BUY | 0.438016 | $876.03 |
| 06-20 18:15 | US military action against Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.0470873267 | $141.26 |
| 06-20 18:15 | US military action against Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.045 | $4.50 |
| 06-20 18:13 | US military action against Iran before July? | BUY | 0.4255959094 | $732.05 |
| 06-20 18:11 | US military action against Iran before July? | BUY | 0.424 | $59.60 |