PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PuffyCrow2026

0x5db449c295056c376c8c752ac346247ff18d5b2f

Realised P&L
$-126.38
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$77.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? · Yes0.2790.210$15.75$5.21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3700.305$15.25$3.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2300.160$7.97$3.54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2210.162$7.84$2.90
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0280.028$5.50$0.10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1030.105$5.28+$0.13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · Yes0.2500.105$5.25$7.25
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6850.215$4.30$9.40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.076$3.83$4.78
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0640.005$2.00$23.55
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1400.025$1.23$5.78
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0520.004$1.03$10.95
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.2310.036$0.91$4.86
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0370.004$0.53$4.98
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 17:48Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.14$7.00
06-26 16:25Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.033$2.48
06-25 19:382026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.36$9.00
06-25 19:352026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.36$9.00
06-24 21:33Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.135$3.38
06-24 21:28Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.15$7.50
06-24 21:23Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.13$6.50
06-24 21:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.208$20.80
06-24 21:192026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.36$18.00
06-24 21:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.37$18.50
06-24 21:14Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.206$20.60
06-24 21:12Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.207$10.35
06-21 19:25Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.61$6.09
06-14 22:42Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$3.88
06-14 22:37Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.005$0.50