PolyBot

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Traders

CybrMadHatter

0x5db4299d97dbe735dff0e1fb817955ab5c6e29c1

Realised P&L
$-657.88
Volume
$45.1k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$16.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0240.004$16.46$96.24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$193.93
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4210.000$0.00$3.4k
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$390.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 18:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969999993$193.93
05-19 22:27Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
05-19 22:27Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.1061323425$192.29
05-19 19:28Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.4$197.25
05-18 17:44Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?SELL0.0449255996$44.21
05-05 07:47Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
05-05 07:46Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.3957245127$388.46
03-26 18:01Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.023961354$112.70
03-26 18:00Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.22$112.70
03-09 18:18Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2798624238$462.88
03-03 22:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.002$3.25
03-03 22:50Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.002$1.00
03-02 20:34Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.3599999996$432.83
03-01 23:00Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.4746460376$2.7k
03-01 13:59Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$6.2k