PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdegjn

0x5d8aa518277045a9ba53c0a89f06d44874ff5771

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$567.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6600.955$391.55+$120.95
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.065$175.50$607.50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$315.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 02:57Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$5.80
05-24 07:48Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?BUY0.63$315.00
05-15 07:51Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.74$740.00
04-17 02:45Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.64$640.00
04-06 01:35Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.801$1.0k
03-27 02:54Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.803$248.93
03-23 09:14Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?SELL0.65$455.00
03-17 12:32Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.68$476.00
03-09 12:21Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.416$38.75
01-23 02:18Solana Up or Down on January 23?BUY0.6$1.8k