sdegjn
0x5d8aa518277045a9ba53c0a89f06d44874ff5771
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $567.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.955 | $391.55 | +$120.95 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.065 | $175.50 | −$607.50 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.600Solana Up or Down on January 23?
- +$92.30at 0.640Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$-4.58at 0.804Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$-21.00at 0.680Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$-39.55at 0.416Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 02:57 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 05-24 07:48 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $315.00 |
| 05-15 07:51 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 04-17 02:45 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $640.00 |
| 04-06 01:35 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.801 | $1.0k |
| 03-27 02:54 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.803 | $248.93 |
| 03-23 09:14 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $455.00 |
| 03-17 12:32 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.68 | $476.00 |
| 03-09 12:21 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.416 | $38.75 |
| 01-23 02:18 | Solana Up or Down on January 23? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.8k |