0x5D88994895220cFF1555460E2E6e4979762EA49A-1767508475261
0x5d88994895220cff1555460e2e6e4979762ea49a
- Realised P&L
- $-23.69
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $0.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.055 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.031 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.024 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.84 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.24at 0.055Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$17.18at 0.053Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?
- +$12.63at 0.046US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$10.36at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$5.18at 0.270US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 22:18 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.104 | $2.84 |
| 03-28 08:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.13 |
| 03-28 08:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 03-09 03:23 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.75 |
| 03-09 03:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0779999715 | $2.39 |
| 03-08 20:50 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0165984253 | $1.24 |
| 03-08 20:46 | Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? | SELL | 0.124 | $1.24 |
| 03-07 18:54 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.48 |
| 03-06 10:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 09:48 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.5609998204 | $1.34 |
| 03-04 09:46 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.22 |
| 03-04 09:22 | Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 09:22 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? | SELL | 0.0263901561 | $0.44 |
| 03-04 09:21 | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.68 |
| 03-04 06:44 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7699996533 | $1.91 |