PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

t00m

0x5d812daef1133f3655b8b01085b3542ca35d11a2

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$182.5k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$69.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.1330.053$39.15$58.85
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2100.115$30.12$24.88
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No0.4300.000$0.00$92.20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$45.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$29.99
Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$30.00
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance · Ecuador0.3900.000$0.00$52.00
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$20.00
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$40.00
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$30.00
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.7000.000$0.00$210.00
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$113.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 00:35Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.0294684489$8.84
07-21 00:35Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?SELL0.1203464048$74.88
07-21 00:34Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.07$83.43
07-06 02:27Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.008$15.00
07-06 02:21Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSELL0.15$90.00
07-05 23:59Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.49$294.00
07-05 23:36Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.33$117.86
07-04 14:05Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$52.50
07-03 01:00Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceSELL0.0425$6.16
06-28 20:28Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.31$44.95
06-28 20:20Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4$40.00
06-28 20:18Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3899999964$52.00
06-28 20:15Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.269999997$52.00
06-28 19:10Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1812013136$40.00
06-25 01:46NATO article 5 before 2027?SELL0.0600789481$46.19