watchnigher
0x5d766a416d9b4003e451804f3aee4bed9d0de8b9
- Realised P&L
- $36.99
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $181.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.53at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 25?
- +$20.30at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 21?
- +$20.03at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?
- +$18.57at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?
- +$17.78at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.00 |
| 08-07 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.9299999154 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-07 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.90 |
| 08-05 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 08-04 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.21 |
| 08-04 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 12:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-01 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.89 |
| 07-30 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |