OkaneKasegu
0x5d748cf9e4f90dcbf26c25c7ed1a9c741e41ee45
- Realised P&L
- $28.3k
- Volume
- $4.04M
- Markets traded
- 707
- Open portfolio
- $87.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded707
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.9kat 0.001California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks
- +$4.2kat 0.723Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$3.2kat 0.342Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$2.8kat 0.259Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.314Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 04:13 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $156.87 |
| 08-12 04:11 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.119 | $163.66 |
| 08-12 02:59 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.65 | $325.00 |
| 08-10 04:58 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.05 | $113.10 |
| 08-10 04:55 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.045 | $9.00 |
| 08-10 04:55 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.044 | $10.69 |
| 08-06 15:48 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0974444809 | $97.94 |
| 07-29 15:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.91 |
| 07-11 20:57 | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.13 | $104.00 |
| 07-11 20:55 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3225 | $322.50 |
| 07-08 01:28 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY | 0.0285115995 | $23.35 |
| 07-08 01:28 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY | 0.0255692087 | $4.99 |
| 07-08 01:28 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY | 0.0221021535 | $3.24 |
| 06-28 03:42 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 06-27 16:44 | Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.255 | $255.00 |