PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PBot-10

0x5d634050ad89f172afb340437ed3170eaa2c9075

Realised P&L
$-153.6k
Volume
$12.19M
Markets traded
64,862
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded64,862
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7610.825$1.2k+$91.80
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9140.955$498.99+$21.23
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9200.928$256.84+$2.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 2? · No0.8330.998$159.60+$26.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 3? · No0.7800.980$156.72+$31.92
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3? · No0.6410.949$151.76+$49.17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? · No0.5200.915$146.40+$63.20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.855$137.01−$11.94
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7650.915$125.86+$20.69
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9490.971$110.74+$2.54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8790.935$100.71+$5.97
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.5171.000$93.96+$45.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3? · Yes0.7700.555$88.80−$34.40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.2340.945$76.64+$57.65
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5700.735$73.50+$16.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:16Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.39$3.12
11-02 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.53$2.76
11-02 00:10Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.5001923043$20.40
11-02 00:06Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.1033374535$11.40
11-02 00:02Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.1399999993$11.70
11-02 00:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.2699999984$15.30
11-02 00:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.1899999993$12.76
11-02 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.219999998$13.52
11-02 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.75346043$47.40
11-02 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.5479166667$13.15
11-02 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.5934325874$27.09
11-02 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.4541666667$10.90
11-01 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.76$3.80
11-01 23:50Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.746666$37.33
11-01 23:47Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.83$8.47