PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

afaus

0x5d5db930389105ecc1927de972696a4e52ba6be6

Realised P&L
$6.7k
Volume
$1.55M
Markets traded
528
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded528
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?BUY0.64$70.40
11-01 03:04Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.886$81.86
10-31 12:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?BUY0.67$46.26
10-31 12:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?BUY0.66$10.79
10-30 11:56Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.76$152.00
10-30 06:46Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$545.31
10-28 18:02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$19.00
10-28 07:11Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?SELL0.19$114.00
10-24 10:20Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.21$126.00
10-24 01:53France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.9k
10-22 14:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.72$106.23
10-22 14:17Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?BUY0.52$46.80
10-22 14:17Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?BUY0.924$27.71
10-05 09:16Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.93$186.00
10-03 01:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.2$40.00