PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

bdkong

0x5d5a36dd66a6d3cc0ed67d15114f76c05b7a1923

Realised P&L
$-169.50
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$34.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1950.152$7.82$2.18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.100$4.17$0.83
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0150.011$3.67$1.33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2400.165$3.44$1.56
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0230.020$1.74$0.26
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0360.030$1.69$0.31
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0330.011$1.59$3.41
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0410.029$1.44$0.56
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.5700.160$1.40$3.60
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? · Yes0.0500.035$1.38$0.62
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0370.022$1.22$0.78
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0110.013$1.14+$0.14
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.013$0.96$0.04
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.1100.013$0.57$4.43
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.008$0.40$4.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 22:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.1$2.00
09-06 22:45Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.022999989$2.00
08-27 13:41US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?BUY0.179999958$3.00
08-21 15:30Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.5$2.00
08-21 15:28US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-21 15:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.36$4.86
08-18 22:14Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?BUY0.05$2.00
08-18 22:14Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
08-18 22:12Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
08-18 22:12Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
08-18 22:12Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
08-18 22:12Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0549999486$1.00
08-18 22:11Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.4179999684$5.00
08-10 15:50Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?BUY0.0018593167$1.00
08-06 10:54Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.5699998906$5.00