0x5D0636Ef9A61d80a1C2D9d75bCA3A90A834Ec5C1-1779378416810
0x5d0636ef9a61d80a1c2d9d75bca3a90a834ec5c1
- Realised P&L
- $-14.57
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $3.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.84at 0.290US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$11.02at 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.88at 0.150US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.48at 0.290 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:37 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:37 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:37 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:36 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 20:17 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 20:16 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 20:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July? | BUY | 0.0193837893 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:12 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0380621128 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:10 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0047272383 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:09 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.34 |
| 07-15 20:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.25 |
| 07-15 20:09 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.23 |
| 07-15 20:09 | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |