KurtOziz
0x5ce3c43f2b2be1b51ec5f4920acbf7340733f779
- Realised P&L
- $7.2k
- Volume
- $644.9k
- Markets traded
- 662
- Open portfolio
- $15.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded662
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.809Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
- +$2.0kat 0.164Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
- +$1.8kat 0.351Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
- +$1.8kat 0.331Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.463NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:38 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.071 | $4.20 |
| 09-17 03:38 | Will the Orlando Magic be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.02 | $5.07 |
| 09-17 03:38 | Will the Charlotte Hornets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.30 |
| 09-17 03:37 | Will the Milwaukee Bucks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.01 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.49 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.78 |
| 09-15 23:03 | Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.86 | $69.75 |
| 09-15 23:03 | Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-15 23:03 | Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-15 23:02 | Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.85 | $235.59 |
| 09-15 22:47 | Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.6834645669 | $86.80 |
| 09-15 10:29 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $207.49 |
| 09-15 04:00 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $186.09 |
| 09-10 23:38 | Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.93 | $44.42 |