CircuitBoardA
0x5ce3c43f2b2be1b51ec5f4920acbf7340733f779
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $661.9k
- Markets traded
- 703
- Open portfolio
- $14.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded703
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.809Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
- +$2.0kat 0.164Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
- +$1.8kat 0.351Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
- +$1.8kat 0.331Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.463NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:49 | Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $114.70 |
| 11-01 02:58 | Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? | BUY | 0.763 | $192.28 |
| 11-01 02:50 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.61 | $57.95 |
| 11-01 02:48 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 11-01 02:28 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 11-01 02:05 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $520.79 |
| 10-30 14:30 | Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.87 |
| 10-29 15:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.007 | $2.80 |
| 10-26 16:02 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9857056625 | $142.40 |
| 10-24 05:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-24 05:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.49 |
| 10-24 05:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.67 |
| 10-24 05:18 | Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? | SELL | 0.112 | $1.93 |
| 10-24 05:16 | Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 10-24 05:16 | Will Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats? | SELL | 0.71 | $11.50 |