GrayTremor
0x5ce3c43f2b2be1b51ec5f4920acbf7340733f779
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $609.1k
- Markets traded
- 560
- Open portfolio
- $12.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded560
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.809Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
- +$2.0kat 0.164Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
- +$1.8kat 0.351Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
- +$1.8kat 0.328Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.463NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:44 | Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? | BUY | 0.986 | $198.36 |
| 07-30 06:26 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 07-25 03:09 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.977 | $199.31 |
| 07-25 02:20 | Will Trump say "Lion" in July? | BUY | 0.2208762012 | $15.63 |
| 07-25 01:35 | Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by July 31? | BUY | 0.0912321429 | $5.11 |
| 07-24 04:40 | Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? | BUY | 0.2546156095 | $8.71 |
| 07-24 04:38 | Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? | BUY | 0.1271447636 | $18.10 |
| 07-22 10:37 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? | BUY | 0.1372773973 | $12.83 |
| 07-22 09:51 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? | BUY | 0.779651711 | $51.26 |
| 07-21 01:47 | Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9156708533 | $707.17 |
| 07-21 00:27 | Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? | BUY | 0.977 | $14.80 |
| 07-20 22:08 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.944 | $94.61 |
| 07-20 04:10 | Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7817565701 | $447.09 |
| 07-19 20:11 | Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.39 |
| 07-18 16:29 | Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.9729801961 | $49.62 |