Aposteko
0x5ce1301f4287eb193fbc4161f2344323ceda4bb9
- Realised P&L
- $-12.81
- Volume
- $460.64
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $27.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.76at 0.709Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$6.50at 0.550Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$5.02at 0.669Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$2.76at 0.640Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$2.47at 0.530Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 07:50 | Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 07:49 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9209994317 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:49 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 07:49 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999884 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 07:48 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 07:44 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:43 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.8599999359 | $1.61 |
| 10-01 14:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $2.30 |
| 10-01 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:33 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999936 | $2.48 |
| 09-28 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:06 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999993 | $10.94 |