anno16728199
0x5cdc81af1c6c5fe8ce8b0daa7da53ab1d699cd58
- Realised P&L
- $-27.14
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.53at 0.663Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?
- +$10.15at 0.814Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce
- +$8.38at 0.370Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$4.86at 0.059Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?
- +$3.52at 0.100Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:58 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.87 | $49.49 |
| 11-01 20:20 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3479999952 | $14.67 |
| 11-01 14:41 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2739999975 | $19.19 |
| 11-01 13:38 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.31 | $15.48 |
| 11-01 11:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.83 |
| 11-01 11:01 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $5.71 |
| 11-01 08:52 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2769999968 | $21.21 |
| 11-01 06:07 | Will Miyu Yamashita win the 2026 Maybank Championship? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-31 20:43 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999995 | $19.31 |
| 10-31 19:02 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.32 | $28.98 |
| 10-31 19:02 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3150702037 | $15.76 |
| 10-31 19:02 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3129999948 | $18.61 |
| 10-31 18:33 | Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $15.74 |
| 10-31 17:45 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999898 | $7.37 |
| 10-31 17:45 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999724 | $1.68 |