PolyBot

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Traders

anno16728199

0x5cdc81af1c6c5fe8ce8b0daa7da53ab1d699cd58

Realised P&L
$-27.14
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.2740.350$572.62+$125.53
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9200.935$289.71+$4.47
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9020.905$229.04+$0.63
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.8210.871$153.32+$8.82
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.8680.875$111.54+$0.85
Will "Wicker" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9860.998$60.10+$0.73
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9590.979$29.37+$0.60
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2900.285$27.87−$0.49
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3170.285$18.98−$2.16
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.0800.090$7.20+$0.80
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2500.275$5.19+$0.47
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.8900.880$3.58−$0.04
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open? · No0.8660.525$3.30−$2.14
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.2800.345$2.01+$0.38
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0740.065$1.27−$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:58Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.87$49.49
11-01 20:20Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.3479999952$14.67
11-01 14:41Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.2739999975$19.19
11-01 13:38Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.31$15.48
11-01 11:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.11$4.83
11-01 11:01Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.1299999998$5.71
11-01 08:52Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.2769999968$21.21
11-01 06:07Will Miyu Yamashita win the 2026 Maybank Championship?BUY0.97$4.85
10-31 20:43Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999995$19.31
10-31 19:02Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.32$28.98
10-31 19:02Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.3150702037$15.76
10-31 19:02Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.3129999948$18.61
10-31 18:33Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.97$15.74
10-31 17:45Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999898$7.37
10-31 17:45Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999724$1.68