MarilynGilpin
0x5cd41558c8ad1e82877cba29efcf1714315fd051
- Realised P&L
- $45.40
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 379
- Open portfolio
- $7.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded379
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.50at 0.204Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$86.80at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?
- +$47.61at 0.015Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
- +$25.21at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on June 17?
- +$20.97at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 18:54 | Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m? | BUY | 0.040594021 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 06:56 | Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $5.82 |
| 07-18 18:48 | Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999785 | $6.00 |
| 07-12 01:19 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1224998971 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 01:18 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1224999508 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 01:18 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1224998971 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:20 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0025 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:20 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0025 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:11 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0025 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 22:48 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 22:46 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 22:33 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2049999505 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 10:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2449999842 | $11.00 |