PolyBot

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Traders

MarilynGilpin

0x5cd41558c8ad1e82877cba29efcf1714315fd051

Realised P&L
$45.40
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
379
Open portfolio
$7.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded379
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? · Yes0.0990.308$4.69+$3.18
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.1200.082$0.68−$0.32
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4500.067$0.59−$3.41
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0310.012$0.48−$0.76
Will Taylor Swift be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.0690.021$0.42−$0.96
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1100.038$0.35−$0.65
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0920.019$0.21−$0.79
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0330.001$0.03−$1.97
Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0830.001$0.01−$1.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on June 3? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$20.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 18:54Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?BUY0.040594021$1.00
07-27 18:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-27 18:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-19 06:56Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?SELL0.33$5.82
07-18 18:48Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?BUY0.3399999785$6.00
07-12 01:19Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1224998971$1.00
07-12 01:18Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1224999508$2.00
07-12 01:18Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1224998971$1.00
07-11 23:20Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.0025$1.00
07-11 23:20Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.0025$1.00
07-11 23:11Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.0025$1.00
07-11 22:48Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
07-11 22:46Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
07-11 22:33Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2049999505$3.00
07-11 10:28Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2449999842$11.00