0x5cd3e540064308625b15618356e111786bcc7a29
0x5cd3e540064308625b15618356e111786bcc7a29
- Realised P&L
- $-0.64
- Volume
- $190.58
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $5.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.830 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.955 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.308 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.640 | 0.645 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.82at 0.268Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3039999708 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:35 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 06:30 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:18 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:16 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:03 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.2741066522 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:48 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:51 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:05 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |