Cungly
0x5ccf62ac8155e49bc7d021a1a66e9ef18f5579d7
- Realised P&L
- $42.4k
- Volume
- $19.86M
- Markets traded
- 1,417
- Open portfolio
- $22.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,417
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.4kat 0.997US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$13.4kat 0.375Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.875Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.120James Comey arrested by April 29?
- +$6.6kat 0.968US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.9968528083 | $677.45 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9673497473 | $677.55 |
| 11-01 19:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.959 | $1.6k |
| 11-01 19:31 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 18:32 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.4k |
| 10-31 14:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $46.55 |
| 10-29 22:59 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $1.0k |
| 10-29 14:04 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $616.28 |
| 10-28 23:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.46 | $920.00 |
| 10-28 21:02 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | BUY | 0.89 | $57.09 |
| 10-28 20:31 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $225.48 |
| 10-28 20:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $406.56 |
| 10-28 20:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 10-28 20:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $34.09 |
| 10-28 20:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.418 | $202.44 |