PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SteeeeeveMadden

0x5ccebe5a2ace47174fcb5027cc9df35f2c334b52

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$167.4k
Markets traded
1,139
Open portfolio
$95.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,139
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) · LYON0.6930.755$32.67+$2.67
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs · Yawara Esports0.5230.508$29.11−$0.89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6300.735$11.67+$1.67
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5) · LYON0.4000.455$11.38+$1.38
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1340.085$6.28−$3.72
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? · No0.6640.545$4.10−$0.90
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.2110.000$0.00−$38.30
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs · Keyd0.4500.000$0.00−$10.00
Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs Rybakina · Rybakina0.5130.000$0.00−$25.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner · Team Spirit0.3620.000$0.00−$94.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.5570.000$0.00−$59.40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00−$5.00
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs EAC Rising (BO3) - United21 Group D · LPH Gaming0.7100.000$0.00−$1.99
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 08:42Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)BUY0.699999993$10.00
09-26 08:40Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)BUY0.4$10.00
09-26 08:36Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)BUY0.6899999821$10.00
09-26 08:25Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)BUY0.6899999821$10.00
09-25 19:52Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?BUY0.5$10.00
09-25 19:41Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?BUY0.5$10.00
09-25 19:25Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?BUY0.5$10.00
09-25 19:24Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?BUY0.5$10.00
09-25 19:24Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?BUY0.5$10.00
09-25 13:52LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsBUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-25 13:52LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsBUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-25 13:52LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsBUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-25 13:18Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)BUY0.4299999991$10.00
09-25 13:12Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)BUY0.4299999991$10.00
09-25 11:59Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)BUY0.4399999947$10.00