PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x5cc86cefa7a8a9ab757c2f4f3d8641894b151612

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$738.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yes0.9181.000$487.87+$40.18
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2? · Yes0.7211.000$100.00+$27.90
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yes0.8801.000$50.00+$6.00
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? · No0.5501.000$49.99+$22.50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0800.159$31.80+$15.80
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0430.050$7.50+$1.00
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1780.035$6.90−$28.71
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1180.019$2.34−$11.86
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.2400.029$1.22−$8.86
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.4000.048$1.20−$8.80
Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.15
Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$15.60
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$44.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-09 01:28Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.88$44.00
02-09 01:05Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.93$93.93
02-09 01:04Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.94$70.38
02-09 01:04Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.94$83.66
02-09 01:04Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.94$106.22
02-02 16:34Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.0424665699$3.80
02-02 16:33Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.0252698413$3.98
02-02 16:33Will "Switzerland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.0156596777$0.81
02-02 16:31Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.05$2.50
02-02 08:50Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?BUY0.395$15.80
02-02 08:50Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?BUY0.39$15.60
02-01 11:19Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.13$24.57
01-26 02:44Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.006$0.09
01-26 02:43Rams vs. SeahawksSELL0.01$0.50
01-26 02:18Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?SELL0.48$4.80