symsil
0x5cc5ec68750ee4d34b42678d65e48d212e7849cb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $60.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $221.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.185 | $130.55 | −$119.45 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.165 | $45.93 | −$54.07 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.038 | $45.50 | −$84.50 |
| Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$662.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.37at 0.270US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$112.54at 0.181Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$86.14at 0.853Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$25.02at 0.160US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$14.89at 0.129Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 01:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3592380544 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 12:16 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.3542609716 | $250.00 |
| 03-01 03:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0509999999 | $500.00 |
| 03-01 02:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0459844452 | $500.00 |
| 02-28 00:18 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.32 |
| 02-28 00:18 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2232224155 | $30.79 |
| 02-25 00:11 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 02-21 02:45 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2030399797 | $112.03 |
| 02-21 02:44 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | SELL | 0.16 | $105.57 |
| 02-21 02:38 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $125.00 |
| 02-21 02:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $470.91 |
| 02-21 02:36 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2270026774 | $469.71 |
| 02-16 16:24 | Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999989 | $62.95 |
| 02-16 16:12 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1815415694 | $400.00 |
| 02-16 16:06 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |