0x5Cc1D4dc985e0Bc3014d14254776aD20538C991d-1763901519107
0x5cc1d4dc985e0bc3014d14254776ad20538c991d
- Realised P&L
- $12.63
- Volume
- $240.97
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $38.60
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.830 | $32.76 | +$2.76 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.685 | $3.66 | −$0.08 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.815 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.03at 0.738Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.23at 0.757Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.83at 0.845Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$1.44at 0.875Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
- +$1.43at 0.913Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 14:42 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6999999626 | $3.74 |
| 10-01 14:41 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 10:58 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8399999425 | $9.93 |
| 09-01 10:55 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 10:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 10:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 09:44 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9419998609 | $5.01 |
| 08-01 09:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 09:42 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 07-16 12:09 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999865 | $2.13 |
| 07-16 12:09 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $2.16 |
| 07-16 12:08 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8499999938 | $6.83 |
| 07-12 06:33 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7299999932 | $14.00 |
| 07-12 06:17 | Will England win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 12:27 | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.9279999993 | $10.00 |