discretionary
0x5c9784bf224923c3bdba9823c1b922786d43fa05
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $178.4k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $597.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · No | 0.797 | 0.998 | $393.90 | +$79.24 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.455 | $117.14 | −$19.56 |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.833 | 0.978 | $31.77 | +$4.71 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.130 | $28.60 | −$13.20 |
| Will Prince-Osei Owusu win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · No | 0.822 | 0.999 | $12.50 | +$2.21 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.886 | $9.50 | +$1.46 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.060 | $3.77 | −$11.23 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.482Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$2.1kat 0.587Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$862.43at 0.854Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$463.72at 0.697Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
- +$343.81at 0.200Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 08:08 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.154186 | $15.42 |
| 09-04 01:11 | Nick Kyrgios suspended for less than 4 months | SELL | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 08-24 10:38 | Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.0521333333 | $9.77 |
| 08-24 10:32 | Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 08-22 10:03 | US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-21 16:37 | Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | SELL | 0.0080235265 | $3.27 |
| 08-13 14:55 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.72 | $16.99 |
| 08-12 00:31 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.8473131796 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 12:08 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.7 | $46.21 |
| 08-06 04:43 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.622875 | $249.15 |
| 08-04 22:04 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.153944 | $30.79 |
| 08-03 11:07 | Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-03 10:54 | Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | BUY | 0.2393078627 | $34.58 |
| 08-03 10:52 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.0454199873 | $31.48 |
| 08-03 08:41 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999732 | $19.57 |